⚽ Mundial 2026 — Predictions Dashboard

🎯 Long-term picks (post-quarterfinals):

France to win the World Cup @2.75 (Stoiximan) · Argentina to win the World Cup @5.50 (Stoiximan) · Mbappé Top Scorer @1.90 (Bwin)

France is the safest of the remaining four, backed by their unbeaten 6-0-0 run this tournament. Argentina offers the best risk/reward among the longshots, ahead of England (6.70) and Spain (9.75). Mbappé is tied with Messi on goals (8-8) but leads on assists (3) — the award's actual tiebreaker — which is why he's the shorter price of the two.

✅ LAST SETTLED — JULY 10 · Quarterfinal (1 match)

▸ ✅ Settled (1)

🇪🇸 Spain vs 🇧🇪 Belgium

July 10, 2026 · 22:00 (Athens) · SoFi Stadium Los Angeles · Quarterfinal

🇪🇸 2-1 🇧🇪 FT 🏆 QUARTERFINAL

🇪🇸 Spain

🏆 FIFA #2 · Euro 2024 Champions · Group H winners

👤 Luis de la Fuente

⭐ Mikel Oyarzabal (4 goals, top scorer), Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Mikel Merino

📊 9 goals in 5 games this tournament — beat Austria 3-0 (R32), Portugal 1-0 (Merino stoppage-time header, R16)

🚑 Nico Williams still out (tournament-ending injury from the group stage)

📌 Clean sheet in all 5 matches so far — a Spanish national-team World Cup record, and genuinely elite process (0.7 xGA in the group stage, not just fortunate)

🇧🇪 Belgium

🏆 FIFA Top 10 · "Red Devils" · Group G winners

👤 Rudi Garcia

⭐ Kevin De Bruyne, Thibaut Courtois (GK), Romelu Lukaku (8 WC goals — level with Maradona, Völler, Rivaldo)

📊 13 goals in 5 games (tournament's most productive attack among the final 8) — beat New Zealand (R32), USA 4-1 (R16)

🚑 Amadou Onana confirmed out; Doku a fitness doubt

📌 Shakier defense (5 conceded in 5 games) — group-stage xG (6.8/2.1) still underperformed on goals scored (6), so more scoring is plausible, but so is conceding against a side this sharp in front of goal

H2HNo significant recent head-to-head between the sides

Odds

1.67

ESP

3.85

5.20

BEL

Predictions

Site	Pick	Odds	Result
Betarades	1 & Over 1.5	2.05	✓ WIN
BetOnArme	Over 2.5	1.80	✓ WIN
Sports Mole ★	Correct Score 1-0 Spain	—	✗ LOSE
Foxbet	1 (Spain win, 90')	1.70	✓ WIN
Kingbet	1 (Spain win)	1.62	✓ WIN

Final: Spain 2-1 Belgium. Fabián Ruiz opened the scoring after half an hour; Charles De Ketelaere equalized in the 41st — Spain's first goal conceded of the entire tournament, ending their 5-match clean sheet record; Mikel Merino grabbed the 88th-minute winner off a goalkeeping error to send Spain through. A much tighter, more open game than the tipster consensus expected — Belgium's attacking threat was real after all. Betarades, BetOnArme, Foxbet, and Kingbet all cashed on the Spain win; Sports Mole's 1-0 correct score missed both the scoreline and the fact Belgium scored at all.

My pick: ✗ LOSE Spain 1X (Double Chance) & Mikel Oyarzabal Anytime Goalscorer @1.87, combined ≈2.17. The 1X leg won (Spain won outright) but Oyarzabal didn't score — Fabián Ruiz and Merino did instead. Second straight My Pick loss: this time the concern about Belgium's attacking threat that got weighed against G/G for this match actually materialized (Belgium did score), which would have made G/G the better leg here — the opposite lesson from France-Morocco. Read together, both results say the same thing: single-match hindsight shouldn't override the process — over a small sample, either companion type can lose to variance.

📅 NEXT — JULY 14 · Semifinal (1 match)

▸ ⏱ Open (1)

🇫🇷 France vs 🇪🇸 Spain

July 14, 2026 · 22:00 (Athens) · AT&T Stadium Dallas · Semifinal

⏱ 14/7 🏆 SEMIFINAL

🇫🇷 France

🏆 FIFA #1 · Group I winners (9 pts)

👤 Didier Deschamps (confirmed this is his last World Cup in charge)

⭐ Kylian Mbappé (captain), Ousmane Dembélé, Désiré Doué, Bradley Barcola

📊 Beat Senegal, Iraq, Norway 4-1 in the group, Paraguay 1-0 (R16), then Morocco 2-0 (QF, Mbappé + Dembélé) — 4 wins from 4 knockout-adjacent tests

🚑 Hugo Ekitike out for the rest of the tournament (ruptured Achilles) — squad depth player, not a starter

📌 Kept a clean sheet in the QF against a real attacking threat (Morocco) — defense looking sharper than the group-stage overperformance numbers suggested

🇪🇸 Spain

🏆 FIFA #2 · Euro 2024 Champions · Group H winners

👤 Luis de la Fuente

⭐ Mikel Oyarzabal, Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Mikel Merino, Fabián Ruiz (both scored the QF winner sequence)

📊 Beat Austria 3-0 (R32), Portugal 1-0 (R16, Merino stoppage-time), Belgium 2-1 (QF, Fabián Ruiz + Merino 88')

🚑 Nico Williams still out (tournament-ending injury from the group stage)

📌 5-match clean sheet streak ended vs Belgium (De Ketelaere, 41') — first real evidence the defense can be breached under sustained pressure

H2HSpain have won 7 of the last 10 meetings (D1 L2) — including Euro 2024 semi-final 2-1 and a wild 5-4 Nations League semi-final (June 2025). France's last win over Spain was the 2021 Nations League final.

Νικητής (Stoiximan, incl. ΠΑΡ/πέναλτι)

1.72

FRA

2.15

ESP

Predictions

Site	Pick	Odds
Betarades	— (αναμένεται)	—
BetOnArme	— (αναμένεται)	—
Sports Mole ★	— (αναμένεται)	—
Foxbet	— (αναμένεται)	—
Kingbet	— (αναμένεται)	—

The tournament's top two sides meet 3 days early — this is effectively the final. France are marginal betting favorites (1.72 vs 2.15 on Stoiximan) on the strength of their knockout defensive record so far, but Spain hold the historical edge (7 of last 10 h2h, including the last two competitive meetings). Neither team is the same side that met in June 2025's 5-4 shootout — Spain's defense until Belgium was the tournament's best, France's has been quietly excellent too (1 conceded in 2 knockout games). Independent xG models (Al Jazeera) rate the match closer to 50-50 than the market price suggests — Mbappé (8 goals/19 shots on target) is red-hot, while Yamal (2.82 xG, only 1 goal) is overdue and Oyarzabal (4 goals, 3.55 xG) has been Spain's most clinical finisher. No tipster picks published yet this far out; will check back closer to kickoff.

My pick: France win @1.72 & Mbappé Anytime Goalscorer @1.85 (Stoiximan), combined ≈3.18. Favors the shorter-priced favorite over the closer xG read, per the win-rate-maximization philosophy — Mbappé's scoring form is the natural same-signal companion leg for a France win, not an unrelated market.

📅 NEXT — JULY 15 · Semifinal (1 match)

▸ ⏱ Open (1)

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England vs 🇦🇷 Argentina

July 15, 2026 · 22:00 (Athens) · Mercedes-Benz Stadium Atlanta · Semifinal

⏱ 15/7 🏆 SEMIFINAL

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England

🏆 Thomas Tuchel (manager) · Group L winners

⭐ Harry Kane (captain, England's all-time WC top scorer), Jude Bellingham, Bukayo Saka, Declan Rice

📊 Beat Croatia 4-2, drew Ghana 0-0, beat Panama 2-0 in the group — then Mexico 3-2 (R16), Norway 2-1 AET (QF, Bellingham brace, Schjelderup for Norway)

📌 Needed extra time in both knockout tests so far but found a way through each time — Bellingham has been the decisive factor in the last two rounds

🇦🇷 Argentina

🏆 FIFA #1 · defending World Champions · Group J winners

👤 Lionel Scaloni

⭐ Lionel Messi, Julián Álvarez, Alexis Mac Allister, Lautaro Martínez

📊 Perfect group record — then Cape Verde 3-2 AET (R32), Egypt 3-2 comeback (R16), Switzerland 3-1 AET (QF, Mac Allister/Álvarez/Martínez — Embolo sent off 72')

📌 Two straight extra-time knockout wins — the squad's depth and composure late in games has been the story of their run, same pattern as England's

H2HOne of football's most storied rivalries — 1966 WC final (England won), 1986 QF ("Hand of God" and Maradona's solo goal, Argentina won), 1998 R16 (Argentina won on penalties after Beckham's red card), 2002 group stage (Beckham penalty, England won 1-0). No recent competitive meetings.

Νικητής (Stoiximan, incl. ΠΑΡ/πέναλτι)

1.80

ENG

2.05

ARG

Predictions

Site	Pick	Odds
Betarades	— (αναμένεται)	—
BetOnArme	— (αναμένεται)	—
Sports Mole ★	— (αναμένεται)	—
Foxbet	— (αναμένεται)	—
Kingbet	— (αναμένεται)	—

This side of the bracket was missing from the dashboard entirely until now — Argentina and England's Round of 16 and Quarterfinal matches (Argentina beat Switzerland 3-1 AET; England beat Norway 2-1 AET) were never tracked, so no tipster picks or My Pick history exists for their run. Both teams needed extra time to get past their quarterfinal, both leaned on one standout performer (Bellingham for England, Argentina's front three collectively) late in the game. Argentina's underlying numbers were subdued specifically vs Switzerland (0.8 xG in 120 minutes), but that's one off night against a well-organized side — across the full tournament Argentina average 2.1 xG for and just 0.7 xG against per game, among the best marks of any side left in the field, so this isn't a genuinely leaky attack. England are marginal betting favorites (1.80 vs 2.05 on Stoiximan). No tipster picks published yet — will fetch site picks closer to kickoff.

My pick: England win @1.80 & Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer @1.91 (Stoiximan), combined ≈3.44. The win leg is the market favorite — a thinner edge than first thought once Argentina's full-tournament numbers are accounted for, not the clear favorite the single Switzerland match suggested. Kane stands on his own individual signal regardless: 5 goals from just 18 shots on target against an xG of 2.3, meaning he's converting at roughly double his shot quality — a genuinely clinical run, not a companion leg picked reflexively.